Feb 4, 2013 4:00am EST
, that's the last thing the eu or the eurozone needs right now. just when we get the signal of the panic button in the eurozone debt crisis, we have another cloud on the horizon. but that's nothing angela merkel can influence. i'm sure it's going to be a topic of discussion saying, look, is this going to be a government crisis? can you avert this? that is nothing we will hear about. the official communique will sound similar to what we heard out of paris, out of the monte meeting. don't expect a result on this budget summit yet on the table and on we go to the next rendezvous in terms of the budgets. we've got another eu summit in march, which is not -- which is not ear marked, of course, as a budget meeting, but i daresay we will trickle along nicely or unnicely until finally they reach an agreement on the next budget. in terms of the eurozone debt crisis, of course, that's the other point of discussion. at the moment, there's a little bit of cautious shoulder padd g padding, but it will be a bit more cautious because of the aforementioned festering crisis in spain. obviously, what we'
Feb 1, 2013 7:00pm EST
about, well, for the moment, the eu -- we have that kind of psychological factor. a healthy private sector. and the problem is what? the problem is government and bad policy. and that's what we have to offset. >> but jim iuorio, i want to know where to invest. do we buy gold, silver, and commodities? do we buy banks, which are lagging a little bit? do we buy industrial cyclicals to play the world boom, if there is such a thing? in other words, how do you invest right now, having passed this 14,000 benchmark? >> well, there's a couple things. first of all, when caterpillar released its earnings it talked about good numbers out of housing. and you stloe in china. you invest in things like copper. you know i still like gold and silver. and today with the green light from the fed i'm still going to stay in things like those. i am in bank of america. i am in health care. i think the stock market looks pretty good. you said before, though, the stock market tends to be a leading indicator of the economy. when the fed pumps in so much money and global banks pump in so much money, i think yo
Feb 4, 2013 9:00am EST
of the bulge names in part because of the eu risk is higher in those. how serious do you take a day like today on that front? >> well, our biggest concern really is the continued unstable nature of greece. i think spain and italy will be fine as long as greece doesn't create a chain reaction, which i think it will. and i'm still very concerned about what is going on there. but as you guys pointed out, you know, you came into early 10, early 11, early 12 and felt good, trends were good and the eu kind of put the kibosh on ceo confidence and capital markets activity. i'm concerned about that. >> you seem less worried. >> we're more worried about the u.s. economy. i think what we're seeing now in the marketplace makes sense. we had the megabanks lead the rally late last year. we recently have switched to the regional banks outperforming the megabanks and now we're getting that normal consolidation period which is to be expected. look at the ten-year treasury yield, that's what we say. if above ten for first quarter -- above 2% for first quarter, then earnings estimates will probably go higher. wh